Islamabad: Pakistan ki economy 2025 mein aik aham morh par nazar aayi, jahan economic stabilization, inflation mein kami, aur external balance ka behtar hona jese pehlu samne aaye. GDP growth 2.68% tak pohanch gayi, jabke industrial sector ne 4.77% aur services sector ne 2.91% ka growth dikhaya.
📉 Inflation mein Bari Kami
State Bank ki tight monetary policy, food supplies ka stable rehna aur duniya bhar mein commodity prices ka girna, sab mil kar inflation ko kaafi neeche le aaye. April 2025 mein inflation sirf 0.3% rahi, jabke May mein yeh sirf 3.5% tak record hui. Pichlay saal ke muqablay mein yeh kaafi behtari hai (FY24: 24.5%). Isi base par policy rate bhi 20.5% se kam hokar 11.0% kar diya gaya.
💸 Fiscal Discipline aur Surplus
Pakistan ne 24 saalon mein pehli dafa PKR 1.896 trillion ka fiscal surplus Q1 FY25 mein hasil kiya. Primary surplus 3.0% of GDP raha, jabke total revenues PKR 13.37 trillion tak barh gaye — 36.7% ka izafa. Tax revenue bhi strong raha: PKR 9.14 trillion. Expenditures control mein rakhe gaye, jisse fiscal deficit sirf 2.4% tak raha.
🌍 External Account mein Surprise Improvement
Jul–Apr FY25 ke dauran USD 1.9 billion ka current account surplus record hua, jabke pichlay saal yeh USD 1.3 billion ka deficit tha. Remittances 31% barh kar USD 31.2 billion tak pohnchi, aur exports mein bhi 6.8% ka izafa hua. Imports mein machinery aur transport goods ka izafa productivity ka signal dey raha hai.
📊 GDP Dollar Terms mein Crossed US$400 Billion
GDP current market prices par PKR 114.7 trillion tak barhi, aur dollar terms mein US$411 billion tak pohnch gayi — Rupee ke 1.4% appreciation ki wajah se. Pakistan ki per capita income bhi barh kar USD 1,824 tak chali gayi.
🌾 Agriculture Sector ki Wajah se Thoda Pressure
Major crops mein 13.5% ka contraction hua — cotton -30.7%, wheat -8.9%. Lekin livestock ne 4.7% ka growth dikhaya, jabke fisheries mein bhi 1.4% ka izafa record hua.
💼 Reforms aur IT Sector ka Positive Role
IT exports USD 2.83 billion tak pohnch gayi. Green Sukuk (PKR 30 bn) aur Carbon Policy launch ki gayi. Roshan Digital Accounts ke zariye USD 10 billion se zyada inflows hue. SOE reforms aur debt management mein bhi progress dekhi gayi.
🏛️ Future Outlook – FY26 ka Safar 
Economic Survey ka kehna hai ke FY26 tak Pakistan ki economy apna full potential hasil kar sakti hai, jahan GDP growth 5.7% tak ja sakti hai agar reforms ka silsila jari raha. Inflation 4.6% average rehne ka imkaan hai, aur Current Account surplus USD 2.5 billion tak ho sakta hai. SBP reserves bhi USD 12.2 billion tak barhne ka aim hai.
Akhri Baat:
Pakistan ki economy ne 2025 mein challenging halaat ke bawajood maashi behtari ka safar shuru kar diya hai. Reforms, investor confidence, aur disciplined approach agar jari rahi to 2026 mein Pakistan ko economic revival ka ek behtareen moka mil sakta hai.
Article by: Mr. Muhammad Noman, Editor in Chief, Pakistan’s 1st Urdu Roman News
