Global market mein demand slowdown aur U.S. supply fears ne oil prices par dabao barqarar rakha
SINGAPORE: Teen din ki lagataar girawat ke baad Friday ko oil prices mein thoda izafa dekhne ko mila, lekin market ab bhi dusre lagataar hafte ke loss ki taraf barh rahi hai, jab ke excess supply aur kamzor demand ke khadshay barqarar hain.
Brent crude futures 21 cents (0.33%) barh kar $63.59 per barrel par pohanch gaye, jab ke U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) 22 cents (0.37%) barh kar $59.65 per barrel par trade hua.
Dono benchmarks, Brent aur WTI, is haftay takreeban 2% tak neeche hain — yeh doosra lagataar week hoga jab oil prices decline mein rahenge, kyun ke major global producers ne apna output increase kar diya hai.
IG Markets ke analyst Tony Sycamore ke mutabiq, prices mein girawat ka sab se bara sabab U.S. crude inventories mein 5.2 million barrels ka unexpected izafa hai, jis ne oversupply fears ko dobara zinda kar diya.
Unho ne kaha ke “risk-aversion flows” aur U.S. dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ke sath sath, U.S. Government shutdown ne bhi market sentiment ko negative banaya hua hai.
Energy Information Administration (EIA) ke data ke mutabiq, crude stocks mein izafa imports ke barhne aur refining activity ke kam hone ki wajah se hua, jab ke gasoline aur distillate inventories mein kami dekhi gayi.
America ke taweel tareen government shutdown ne economy par bhi asraat daale hain. Trump administration ne airports par flights reduce kar di hain air traffic controllers ki kami ki wajah se, jab ke private reports kamzor labor market ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain.
Sycamore ke mutabiq, WTI short-term mein $58 se $62 per barrel ke range mein trade karega. Unka kehna hai ke agar U.S. Government agle haftay reopen ho gayi to prices mein thoda recovery aa sakta hai, lekin soft demand aur inventory builds rally ko limit karenge.
Iske ilawa, OPEC+ ne December ke liye output mein thoda izafa karne ka faisla kiya hai, lekin agle saal ke pehle quarter ke liye production pause rakhne ka plan banaya hai, taake supply glut se bacha ja sake.
Is faislay ke baad, Saudi Arabia ne December ke liye Asian buyers ke liye apni crude prices kam kar di hain, jo ke ek well-supplied market ka saboot hai.
Saath hi, Russia aur Iran par European aur U.S. sanctions ne China aur India ko oil supply disturb ki hui hai, jis se prices ko kuch support mil raha hai.
Darmiyan, Swiss trader Gunvor ne Russian company Lukoil ke foreign assets khareedne ka plan withdraw kar liya hai, jabke U.S. Treasury ne usay Russia ka “puppet” qarar de kar deal ka boycott kiya.
