December 2024 ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) 4.1% par record hua, jo ke pichlay saal ke high inflation level ke favorable base effect ki wajah se hai. Food inflation mein bhi noticeable kami dekhi gayi, jo December 2024 mein sirf 0.3% YoY par thi, jab ke pichlay saal hyperinflationary levels tak pohoch gayi thi.
2025 Ke Liye Mahireen Ke Expectations
Experts ka kehna hai ke FY25 ke liye CPI forecast 6.5% par barqarar hai, jis me saal ke aakhri hisay mein rebound ki umeed hai.
PDL Increase Ka Imkan Kam
Forecast ke mutabiq, PDL (Petroleum Development Levy) mein izafa aane wale mahino mein kam hai. Magar agar yeh hua, toh fuel prices mein izafa dekhne ko milega.
Real Interest Rate Mein Kami Ka Moqa
Is waqt real interest rate (RIR) ~8.9% par hai. Inflation ke girte huye trend ki wajah se Monetary Policy Committee ke liye ek aur rate cut ka case mazboot ho raha hai.
Economic indicators behtari ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain, magar policymakers ke liye fiscal balance ka challenge barqarar hai.
