Singapore: Duniya ke do sab se baray oil consumers — America aur China — ke darmiyan barhti tensions aur supply ki ziyadati ke khauf ne Tuesday ko global oil prices ko neeche gira diya.
Brent crude futures 14 cents yaani 0.2% gir kar $60.87 per barrel par aa gayi, jab ke US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ka November delivery contract 0.1% gir kar $57.45 per barrel par band hua. December ka zyada active contract bhi 13 cents ya 0.2% neeche aakar $56.89 par record hua.
US President Donald Trump ne kaha hai ke unhein umeed hai ke unka Chinese President Xi Jinping ke sath ek fair trade deal tay pa jayegi. Lekin tariffs, technology aur market access ke masail abhi tak hal nahi huay hain.
Trump ne kaha, “Mujhe lagta hai hum aik bohat strong trade deal tak pohanch jayenge — dono mulk khush honge.”
Ritterbusch and Associates ke mutabiq, filhal crude market ka near-term trend bearish hai — yani traders price rise par selling ko tarjeeh de rahe hain. Unhon ne kaha, “Geopolitical uncertainty abhi bhi itni hai ke kabhi kabhi negative oil balances ko offset kar deti hai.”
Reuters ke ek poll ke mutabiq, US crude oil stockpiles mein guzishta haftay izafa hone ka imkaan hai, jab ke American Petroleum Institute (API) aur Energy Information Administration (EIA) ke weekly reports ka intezar hai.
Russia mein, Rosneft ke control mein chalne wali Novokuibyshevsk refinery ne drone attack ke baad Sunday ko apni crude processing band kar di. Isi tarah, Orenburg gas plant par strike ke baad Kazakistan ne apne Karachaganak oil aur gas condensate field ki production 25% se 30% tak kam kar di hai.
Russian oil supply ko le kar abhi bhi pechida surat-e-haal barqarar hai. Trump ne dubara kaha ke agar India ne Russian oil khareedna band nahi kiya to us par “massive tariffs” lagaye ja sakte hain. Western sanctions ke baad India ab discounted Russian oil ka sabse bara kharidar ban gaya hai.
Oil prices mein girawat ka aik sabab International Energy Agency (IEA) ka pichlay haftay ka bearish outlook bhi hai, jis me kaha gaya ke 2026 tak global oil market mein 4 million barrels per day ka surplus ho sakta hai, kyun ke OPEC+ countries aur unke rivals production barhti ja rahi hain jab ke demand abhi bhi kamzor hai.
