Haal hi mein inflation ka rate 6.9% report hua hai, jo market expectations se kam tha. Pichlay saal issi waqt inflation 31% thi, isliye ab ye rate ek achi khabar samjhi ja rahi hai. Magar, money markets mein abhi bhi thoda panic hai, jahan companies aur funds zyada buying kar rahe hain. State Bank ne buy back kiya hai aur pichlay hafte ka auction bhi reject ho gaya tha. Is wajah se interest rates 15 se 30 points gir gaye hain aur 10 saal ka rate ab 11.88% par aaya hai, jo pehle 14% tha.
Experts ka kehna hai ke December tak policy rate 13.50% tak aasakta hai, kyunke inflation kaafi had tak control mein hai. Lekin agle quarter se inflation wapas barh sakti hai, isliye interest rates ko zyada neeche nahi laya jayega aur 11% ke aaspaas rukne ki umeed hai.
Rupee ki qeemat par zyada asar nahi parega, magar short term mein currency mein thodi si behtari aa sakti hai. Kam interest rates se log zyada cheezain khareedenge, jisse import bill barhne ka khatra bhi hai.
SWAPs ke mamlay mein bhi girawat dekhi ja rahi hai, jahan banks aur exporters apne kaam ke liye swaps use kar rahe hain.
