Jan 24 mein National Consumer Price Index (NCPI) mein increase hone ka imkaan hai, jo ke Year on Year (YoY) 27.71% ho sakta hai. Dec’23 ke 29.7% se kam hai aur ek saal pehle ke 27.6% se thoda zyada hai.
Is natijay mein umeed hai ke 7MFY24 ke liye average CPI 28.64% YoY hoga, jo ke pichle saal ke is doran dekhe gaye 25.4% YoY se zyada hai.
Monthly basis par, Jan’24 mein N-CPI mein 1.3% izafah hone ki exxpectation hai, jo ke pichle mahine ki 0.8% izafah ke baad hai. 1HFY24 ke liye average MoM increase 1.9% qarar diya gaya hai.
MoM basis, mein izafah ki wajah se different food items ki qeemat mein increase shamil hai, jese ke food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages index mein (+2.2% MoM) muratabat, jese ke murghi, anday, daal, pyaz, tamatar, aur cheeni. Is ke ilawa, house rent index mein annual improvement (+1.97% MoM) aur bijli ke daamon mein izafah ne bhi inflation ko barhaya hai. Dusri taraf, transport index mein MoM mein increase ka imkaan hai (-1.56%), jisme petrol ke products ki keemat mein kami shamil hai.
YoY mein inflation is doran base effect ki wajah se kam ho rahi hai.
Aanay wale FY24 mein, YoY inflation figures mein pichle saal ke buland base effect ki wajah se numaya kami ka imkaan hai. May 24 mein is ka peak anay ka imkaan hai, jisme FY24 ke liye 24.9% ka average inflation ki expectation hai, jo ke IMF ke pehle ke recommendation se (24%) thoda zyada hai.
