Nov 2023 mein Consumer Price Index (CPI) ne tezi se 29.2% par pahunch kar 4 mahinay ke baad 2.7% izafay ka record banaya. Gas Charge Index mein hone wale 280% MoM izafay ki wajah se yeh fast increment hua.
Gas ke prices ke izafay ko chhod kar, MoM CPI mein 60 basis points tak ka izafah hua, kyun ke doosre components se aram mila. Transport mein 2.6% ka MoM decline (POL product prices mein hui kami ki wajah se), electric charges mein 11% ka MoM decline, aur khane ki kimat mein 1% ka increase is moderation mein madadgar sabit hue.
Dec-2023 ke liye dekhte hue, CPI ko 29% ke upar rehne ka intezaar hai, agar MoM inflation reading 32 basis points se kam na ho – jo ke ek week situation hai. Lekin iske aage, disinflation projection mein tabdili nahi hui hai, jahan 12 mahine ke forward CPI ki average 18% hai. Hamare projections ke liye ek zaroori khatra ye hai ke US$ ke khilaf Rupee ka tezi se decline, is par dhyan dena hoga.
